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User avatar #2 - eggbanjo (04/29/2013) [-]
what? so 1 in every 125 people die in a car crash? that cant be right?
User avatar #17 to #2 - umaya (04/29/2013) [-]
I will analyse...
"You will die in a car crash: 1 in 125", this means if you are in a car crash there is a chance of 1 in 125 you will die, that sounds reasonable.
User avatar #19 to #17 - eggbanjo (04/29/2013) [-]
well if there was a plane crash wouldn't the odds be much lower to dying, yanno because big tin can at high altitudes falling and crashing?
User avatar #20 to #19 - umaya (04/29/2013) [-]
They probably worked that out differently, its not like 4.6 million people have been involved in aeroplane crashes and 1 survived, most likely it just means out of all the aeroplane flights that have happened this many have had a crash, they really mix and match statistics in things to give false impressions.
User avatar #13 to #2 - zgbgydug ONLINE (04/29/2013) [-]
Perhaps it means the odds you will die in a car compared to other ways you could die accidentally?
User avatar #3 to #2 - yunablade (04/29/2013) [-]
-Find out the number of fatalities in your country per year
-Find the size of the population during that year
+Do the math
#11 to #3 - nwn ONLINE (04/29/2013) [-]
No, you have to find the amount of fatalities that year.
Comparing amount of fatalities in car crashes with the amount of living people makes no sense.
User avatar #5 to #3 - eggbanjo (04/29/2013) [-]
Population of Wales - 3,000,000
Number of fatalities caused by car crashes - 121
3,000,000/121 = 24793 thats 1 in every 24793..
User avatar #21 to #5 - iggyblanco (04/29/2013) [-]
The statistic is the probability you will die from one those causes in your lifetime, not in a given year. So:

Population - Wales 3,000,000
Fatalities last year - 121
Life Expectancy Wales - 79.7

3,000,000 / (121) (79.7) = ~311

So about 1 in 311 will die in a car accident.
User avatar #6 to #5 - yunablade (04/29/2013) [-]
okaaaay... then this probably is from another country and does not affect you (prolly japan)
User avatar #9 to #6 - nylak (04/29/2013) [-]
4612 motor vehicle fatalities in 2011, population of 127,799,000.
4612/127,799,000 = Number way smaller than 1/125.
#12 to #9 - ainise (04/29/2013) [-]
That's one year. This says *period*.

Assuming the population remained a constant 127,799,000 and there was an average of 4612 fatalities per year, and the average life expectancy was 60 years of age, 276,720 of 127,799,000 would die. This is .216%, or .216/100, or 1 : 416. This is taking a lot of assumptions, but as you can see it's much closer to the original number. Similarly Whales is 1:413.

I don't personally know much about whales, but Japan has less vehicles per person, and it's completely normal for a person to not have a drivers license - as they are harder to obtain, and far less necessary. Japan also has much safer driving due to lower speed limits, mostly due to so many blind turns, and odd driving habits.

This doesn't say "in a year" it says "1 in 125 die in a car crash", or more specifically "You have a 1:125 chance of dying in a car crash". The number itself is actually wrong, and it seems to be based on this formula http://www.safespeed.org.uk/old12mph.html which states that drivers in an injury accident have a 1:125 chance of it being fatal. So yes, it is incorrect. However you're even farther off. ;)
User avatar #10 to #9 - yunablade (04/29/2013) [-]
I was making a racist joke.

Sorry ._.
User avatar #22 to #10 - nylak (04/29/2013) [-]
..Ah, I get it now. Heheheheh.
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