Nah you see You either hit Or you dont 50/50 - #158721072 added by regularorange at /v/ on statistics

#6 - bemymaster

Reply +391 123456789123345869

(04/20/2017) [-]

Having only two possible outcomes doesn't mean that it's 50/50

#86 to #6 - bossguycumsplash

Reply +1 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

tell that to every xcom soldier I ever had

#96 to #86 - casuall

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Y'know, in XCOM I'm willing to accept that every shot is a 50/50.

#56 to #6 - myjunk

Reply +4 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

#54 to #6 - regularorange

Reply +6 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Nah you see
You either hit
Or you dont
50/50

#53 to #6 - anon id: de5dcee6

Reply +6 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

**anonymous used "*roll picture*"**
**anonymous rolled image**It's like saying that I have 50% chance to win 100 m dash during world championship, because I will win or I lose. That does not work this way.

#45 to #6 - ieatbengay

Reply +8 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

funnyjunk is retarded if this is top comment

#19 to #6 - anon id: 6eca24f2

Reply -44 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Baye's Theorem ya dinks (provided the probability is conditional)

#38 to #19 - daentraya

Reply +3 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

bayes is used with prior information to speak about unknowns, regular statistics is for certain and boring events like 99% hit chances

#84 to #38 - heyyoutoo

Reply +1 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

You presume that the game doesn't lie to you

#34 to #19 - anon id: c3c4559a

Reply +17 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Baye's Theorem has nothing to do with that. Is this some kind of Ken M wannabe level troll?

#27 to #19 - borcha

Reply +85 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

somebody never studied statistics
not unexpected of a leaf, tho

#80 to #27 - anon id: 4a8efb16

Reply +4 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Im a leaf too. I agree he dumb

#94 to #80 - tanditsky

Reply +2 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Twist, it's the same guy

#8 to #6 - electrictroll

Reply -11 123456789123345869

(04/20/2017) [-]

2 options with a 100% chance that one of them happens.
100/2 = 50. So with 2 options means that each has a 50 percent.

#72 to #8 - poruku

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

So you have 50% chance of dying from thyroidal cancer

#28 to #8 - anon id: b9b8f4c3

Reply +2 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

2 mutually exclusive outcomes. One has 80% probability of occurring, the other has 20%.

There is an absolutely 100% chance that one of them happens. There are 2 outcomes. They chance of each is NOT 50/50, its 80/20.

#22 to #8 - certifiedbronze

Reply +1 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

You don't have a 1 in 2 chance of pulling ace of spades if you pull it on the second try.

#14 to #8 - hunterkane

Reply +80 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

That only applies when both option have the same chance of happening, like a coin flip.
Two options can have different chances to happen like how at any one time there are two possible states. you are getting your dick sucked or you are not. this is not a 50/50 chance. like with you, there is 0% chance you will get your dick sucked at any one moment.

#39 to #14 - angelious

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

coin flip isnt 50/50 either.

one of the sides will almost always have more weight on it which scews the scale.

thats why some people have built robots that can flip the coin and make it land with 100% accuracy on which ever side they want it to land.

#99 to #39 - anon id: a5bdc494

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

I would imagine, in my stupid anon brain, that it would have much, much more to do with the consistency of the flip than weight at all... if it's hitting 100%

But that's just me thinking out loud and being afraid of robots taking all our coin flipping jobs away from us...

#103 to #99 - angelious

Reply +1 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

and in order to get the flip to be consistent and get the desired results you need to know all the variables.

aka which side is heavier and by how much. as well as some other things

#58 to #39 - skebaba

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Is that because of the different engravings on the 2 sides???

#61 to #58 - angelious

Reply 0 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

aye.

#33 to #14 - xxwrathbornexx

Reply +3 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

I read somewhere that a coin flip isn't really a 50/50 chance. More like a 49.8/50.2 depending on what coin and stuff. Idfk

#36 to #33 - mentro

Reply +8 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

There's also the rare rare possibility of it landing on its side.

#35 to #33 - anon id: c3c4559a

Reply +1 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

It's nearly impossible in reality to have an actual 50/50 chance. Generally coins land on Tails more often because the Heads side usually has slightly more metal on it (by fractions of grams), but it's a very, very minute difference. It's not 50.2, more like 50.000000002

#18 to #14 - geese

Reply +20 123456789123345869

(04/21/2017) [-]

Look at his name, he's trolling you.

#12 to #8 - johnnydotxxx

Reply +33 123456789123345869

(04/20/2017) [-]

probability acts on what could happen, not what did. if you look back in time to what did happen you could say it happened 100% of the time.